World tourism > 1 billion in 2012

Next year the world will face over one billion tourists and latest by 2030, 1.8 billion people will travel internationally every year.

The increase in tourism is espected to be twice as large in developing countries than in developed countries. Countries in Asia, South America, Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa will on average have an increase of 30 million tourists a year, while developed countries will increase in average of 14 million a year.

In 2030, developing countries will have a market share of 58% and already by 2015 thies countries will have as many tourists as the developed countries.

(source: UNWTO)

Global travel & tourism growth estimates downgraded for 2011-12

The global Travel & Tourism industry will grow more slowly in 2011 and 2012 than previously indicated, according to the World Travel & Tourism Council. (WTTC)

However, as can be seen in the diagram below the long-term forcast still looks bright.

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On current trends, while the global economy is predicted to grow by 3.3% between 2010 and 2030, the number of aviation passengers looks set to grow by 4.2%.

What will change?
however, is who flies – and how.


(Source: http://www.forumforthefuture.com/)

Four scenarios for the future of tourism

The website www.forumforthefuture.org is a website of a non-profit organisation who works on a better and sustainable future world.

In this forum, they did an analysis and devised four scenarios about future tourism.

Boom and Burst from Forum for the Future on Vimeo.

Divided Disquiet from Forum for the Future on Vimeo.

Price and Privilege from Forum for the Future on Vimeo.

Carbon Clampdown from Forum for the Future on Vimeo.

Between 4% and 5% growth in international tourist arrivals in 2011.
(Source: UNWTO)